Will India win the Second test at Trent Bridge? England already have a 300+ run lead. Statistically india have a very low chance of wining this match. Because they have scored more than 300 runs only two times to win a test match. Their highest being 407 against west indies in 1976 and 300+ against England in Chennai.
See the list below. I think, given this and the fact that india have yet to score 300 runs in this series against england, they have a very low chance of winning the Trent Bridge Test
India have score more than 300 only twice to win a test match in the 4th innings.
Also the highest total in the 4th innings at the Trent Bridge Ground itself is 440 – scored by New Zealand vs England on 7 Jun 1973 (Cricinfo). The highest score at Trent Bridge is 658 scored in the first innings. See the list of top scores at Trent Bridge (source: Cricinfo)
| Team | Score | Overs | RR | Inns | Opposition | Match Date | Scorecard | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England | 658/8d | 188.0 | 3.50 | 1 | v Australia | 10 Jun 1938 | Test # 263 | |
| England | 619/6d | 212.0 | 2.91 | 1 | v West Indies | 4 Jul 1957 | Test # 441 | |
| England | 617 | 144.5 | 4.26 | 2 | v India | 8 Aug 2002 | Test # 1612 | |
| Australia | 602/6d | 206.3 | 2.91 | 1 | v England | 10 Aug 1989 | Test # 1125 | |
| England | 567/8d | 174.4 | 3.24 | 2 | v New Zealand | 2 Jun 1994 | Test # 1260 | |
| England | 564 | 198.5 | 2.83 | 2 | v India | 4 Jul 1996 | Test # 1329 | |
| England | 558/6d | 139.0 | 4.01 | 2 | v Pakistan | 1 Jul 1954 | Test # 388 | |
| West Indies | 558 | 174.4 | 3.19 | 2 | v England | 20 Jul 1950 | Test # 325 |
